Thursday, May 29, 2008

And the beat goes on.

I played in the weekly Thursday tournament in Casino Copenhagen this evening, and lasted about 40 minutes. Things went as planned early, as I attacked the blinds and weak limpers of whom there were plenty (the limpers that is, the number of blinds was standard). There was about 4 weak calling stations at the table.

Then one of them 3-bet me preflop when I had AK. I called, hit an ace on the flop while he hit a set of nines, and I was crippled. Ten minutes later I lose a preflop all-in with ATo against a calling station with 65s. He called a raise from CO, and then called my shove from SB as well, for about 15 BBs. nh, wp.

Since my last post, I have had two losing cash game sessions. The last one I was just about to get away with a $2k win, which would have been huge this month, but then as I was going home I sat at two very juicy 2000NL tables for an hour and promtly lost 4 buy-ins.

I am now at break even for the month, and feeling some poker sadness.

Sunday, May 25, 2008

Looking forward.

Lately it has been all about cash games, and that is about to change. This month I have played a load of cash game hands, and I am sorry to say things have not been too smooth. Since my last post I had another bad session, so I my monthly result, while still positive, is absolutely dismal compared to the amount of time I put in.

Fortunately, I don't worry too much about that, since in about two weeks I am going to Vegas with a few of the boys from the office. It will be good times, liberal gambling and booze policies, and of course: Tournaments. I am looking forward to playing about 5 WSOP events this year, and this time I will not be jet lagged during most of them. While tournaments are not my speciality, I am not too bad at it, and I hope I will catch a bit of luck and win a bracelet or just some money. The plan is to spend the next couple of weeks playing lots of tournaments, including a few live ones if I can find any in this by gambling forsaken country.

Sadly, tournaments are rigged. I was reminded tonight when I crashed and burned in all but one, and then I crashed and burned in that one too. My tournament account books show a deficit this year for sure, with no sign of things turning around. Considering that I also have to pay tax of my Las Vegas winnings, the trip is money out the window from a short term economical view point. But whatever, I have a right to dream of bracelets and suitcases full of money, so I am going. If the trip does nothing else, it will reinforce my conviction that tournaments are rigged so I can focus better on the cash games. If all else fails I will get to drive a few very fast cars. I checked, and you are eligible for jail if you just drive 30 mph above the legal limit. I have never been to jail before...

Anyway, the blog is about to change gears for the next month, going from the never ending grind of the cash games to reports of fast tournaments eternally full of bad beats. Then it will get worse with all the fast cars, fast money and hot sun of the Vegas desert. You have been warned.

Wednesday, May 21, 2008

Like night and day.

I have always thought it more or less established fact that the games were better late at night (Danish time, GMT+1). The logic is that at around midnight everyone in the western world will NOT be at work, and that sleeping schedules is less of a hindrance for poker playing than work schedules. Also the European players who are on roughly the same local time as me will supposedly play worse late at night for various reasons.

What is lacking is some hard proof that this is actually fact, and not just an example of the standard human mindset that the grass is always greener on the other side, or in this case, that money flows more freely when I can't play 'cause wifey wants me in bed.

During my marathon, I did not have the feeling that the games were much better at night time, and surely my results are an indication of the opposite. My day time sessions (before dinner break) produced a win rate of 3.6 BB/100, while my night time sessions produced a win rate of 0.22 BB/100. Obviously those results are not proof of anything, for example a break even session on Sunday night instead of a -17k session would have made the two win rates roughly equal.

If you have some solid evidence one way or the other, I would be pleased to hear of it. Unfortunately Poker Tracker 2 was not much help in this regard. Right now I am working with PT3 to see if there is functionality there to help me (I am pretty sure there is, but I am having some techical problems and am in contact with support).

Fellow blogger Joxum asked for showdown statistics during the marathon. I went to showdown on 26.4% of the hands were I saw the flop, and I won 56% of those showdowns.

Tuesday, May 20, 2008

Last week...

I played 70,034 hands of poker in 71.5 hours.

I won $23,476.

I paid $7,572 in rake.

I played 979.5 hands per hour.

I played 348 table sessions.

My longest single table session was 818 hands. That was a 7.5 hour session Sunday. I should have left that one out, because it cost me $5,550.

I paid $100,804 in blinds.

I made a total of 421 cold calls preflop (calls where I had not previously put money in the pot. A call from the blinds is not a cold call). This is about 0.6% of my hands. Over half of that was from the button.

I was dealt pocket aces 331 times, and I won $114 with it on average. I won $78/hand with kings, $24/hand with AKs and only $11.6/hand with queens.

I had quads every day. 19 times total.

I did not have a single straight flush.

I raised preflop 17.76% of my hands, and voluntarily put money in the pot 19.94%. My total aggression factor was 5.39.

I 3-bet preflop 8.35% of the times I had the opportunity.

I hit the bottom of a 30 buy-in downswing (middle of Tuesday), which started earlier in the month.

I had two $19k downswings, and I am still at the bottom of the last one.

I played three different buy-in levels:

2000NL:
5,185 hands
$1,856 won
0.89 BB/100

1000NL:
62,822 hands
$19,991 won
1.59 BB/100

600NL:
2,027 hands
$1,630 won
6.7 BB/100


If you have any burning questions concerning the numbers from last week, now would be a good time to post them, since I am already up to my elbows in number grease.

Monday, May 19, 2008

A little perspective, please.

Last post was a nice reminder of why it is important to balance your life, especially so if you spend a significant portion of it playing poker. The highs and lows of poker are so extreme that if it is all you ever do, you will end up with manio depressive tendencies.

I played 71 hours of poker last week. During a run of eight hours Tuesday, I won $23k, almost exactly corresponding with my entire weekly profit. During five hours yesterday, I lost $17k, nearly cutting the entire weekly result in half. It is a wonder I am not a raving lunatic. Like they say, poker is a hard way to make an easy living.

Now I have had a chance to sleep on it, I am still a little bit pissed off actually, but I am capable of other feelings as well. For example, I am glad it's over, and I can do stuff again. Furthermore, I can give you three thoughts on the project as a whole.

One: When you have a load of playing time laid out before you, it takes a lot of focus from your immediate results. This was especially usefull to me in the beginning of the week, since I ran very bad the first day and a half. I think this experience can motivate me to try and fit my play into a larger plan in the future. For example, I could have a specific plan to play 40k hands in a month, and cash out whatever profit is there at the end of it. That way the first couple of sessions will automatically be put into the perspective of the whole month, and hopefully at the end of the month there will be a large surplus, so that the swings of a few hours won't seem so significant. And then I'll try not to lose half the monthly profit in the last damn session.

Two: Holy crap, I can play a lot of hands when I want to! Both in number of tables and number of hours I surprised myself with how well I managed with relatively little effort. I did not think it would be possible to play 1000 hands an hour, but it was. It gives me some satisfaction that I can sit down and grind it out like that, and expect a profit. The problem for any poker player capable of self critisism is that you never know for sure if and by how much you are a winning player. You just never get in enough hands to prove anything, and even if you did, it would take you so long that the games will have changed along with your own playing style. Although 70k hands is still not enough to prove anything concerning poker results, I think that along with my other results this year, there is now very strong statistical evidence that I am able to solidly beat 1000NL while playing a large number of tables. Those 70k hands last week now sit as a sort of documentation, or at least they would have if I hadn't lost half the profit in the last damn session.

Three: As I understand it, if you've been brain washed you are not going to be aware of it. I think it is not too far fetched to compare a 71 hour 10-table work week as a sort of extended brain wash of your poker senses. I should spend some time figuring out how my play has been affected. I can see in my stats that I have actually played slightly less hands and raised slightly less hands this week than I normally do. I believe that I am able to make good subconscious adjustments to my game, and do so continually, but I should try to make myself aware of the changes at some point to make sure they are constructive. For example, if I run bad over an extended period of time, I may make defensive changes that are in fact going to cost me money in the long run. It is about time I took a look at my game, if nothing else by running through a few hands.

I hope you are all now convinced that I haven't grown totally bitter, just slightly annoyed at the unfairness of it all, as ever. I will return with a run down of my stats from last week tomorrow. As you may know, pokertracker 3 is now shipping, so I am in the process of importing my entire hand history two years back into that program right now. Teaser: In my next post I will reveal how large a percentage of my hands that i 3-bet preflop!

Sunday, May 18, 2008

I hate everything.


Total
71.4 hours, 70,029 hands, $23,877, MT Ratio: 8.78, 1.64PTBB/100 (e.a.:2.5), $7,503 rake paid.

Today:
10.25 hours, 10,993 hands, -$13,860, MT Ratio: 9.49, -3.78PTBB/100.


"I must admit it was a relief to finally crack $30k, hopefully for good. As the graph shows, I have been grinding the same money up and down forever, and I was getting fairly sick of always returning to $23k. I know you are probably not feeling very sorry for me about being stuck at 'only' $23k, but imagine working 25 hours on something, getting no result and then having to pay for it in the end. But a little before midnight, I finally, finally, FINALLY got rewarded for all the lost coin flips and setups over the last two day. Makes me feel like river dancing."

-Quote playbald yesterday

"$25,031"

-Quote playbald Wedensday.


"Crap day, crap week, crap project."

-Quote playbald right fucking now.

End in sight

Total
65.4 hours, 63,876 hands, $40,584, MT Ratio: 8.74, 2.72PTBB/100

Today:
4.25 hours, 4,840 hands, $2,847, MT Ratio: 9.96, 3.45PTBB/100.


Last marathon dinner break ever. I just want to share with you the sickest suckout ever:

Party Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $5/$10
5 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $2305.05
Hero: $2965.80
Button: $830
SB: $1092
BB: $2460

Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is CO with :9h :9c
UTG folds, Hero raises to $35, 2 folds, BB raises to $125, Hero calls.

Flop: :9d :js :5d ($255, 2 players)
BB bets $199, Hero raises to $500, BB calls.

Turn: :as ($1255, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $700, BB raises to $1400, Hero raises all-in $1640.8, BB calls all-in $435.
Uncalled bets: $505.8 returned to Hero.

River: :9s ($4925, 0 player + 2 all-in - Main pot: $4925)

Results:
Final pot: $4925
BB shows Ah Ac (three of a kind, aces)
Hero shows 9h 9c (quads, nines)


Yes ladys and gents, a one-outer on one try for 5 buy-ins. Of course this sucks royally for me, since it completely ruins my hard earned image as a notoriously unkucky player who succeeds despite horrible circumstances.


Dinner break.

End of days.

Damn marathon runners cloggin' up the whole city like they own the place. Bastards should get a hobby or something. And they had to pick this exact day.

Anyway, one day of misery left, 11k hands to be played and then: FREEDOOOOM!!! (Gibson version, entrails hanging out and everything). Well then, let us gogogogogogo!!!

Saturday, May 17, 2008

Finally.


Total
61.1 hours, 59,036 hands, $37,737, MT Ratio: 8.66, 2.65PTBB/100 (e.a.: 3.5), $6,419 rake paid.

Today:
10.4 hours, 9,932 hands, $13,562, MT Ratio: 8.6, 3.32PTBB/100.


My supernatural powers of prediction have triumphed yet again. If I overlook the fact that I didn't exactly have my best day ever, I did go over 35k, so thats a pretty good success rate for a fortune teller. I am now going to set up shop and predict everyones future on the internets at a very modest rate. Death and marriage predictions free on Thursdays.

I must admit it was a relief to finally crack $30k, hopefully for good. As the graph shows, I have been grinding the same money up and down forever, and I was getting fairly sick of always returning to $23k. I know you are probably not feeling very sorry for me about being stuck at 'only' $23k, but imagine working 25 hours on something, getting no result and then having to pay for it in the end. But a little before midnight, I finally, finally, FINALLY got rewarded for all the lost coin flips and setups over the last two day. Makes me feel like river dancing.

One more day and 11k hands to go, and I will be ready to do some serious relaxing.

Day 6 dinner break.

Total
53.6 hours, 51,988 hands, $25,860, MT Ratio: 8.66, 2.56PTBB/100

Today:
2.92 hours, 2,884 hands, $1,685, MT Ratio: 8.57, 3.21PTBB/100.


More of the same. I started the day by getting stacked no less than five times with AK preflop. Since then it has worked out alright, but it definetely has not been my week when it comes to all-ins.

Someone asked for a rake count. Until now, I have paid $5,662 in rake this week.

Dinner break.

Day 6.

As I drove through town on my way to the office, I noticed that a bunch of guys have ripped off my concept, and are going to run a ridiculous amount of clicks tomorrow. I am of course talking about the original Copenhagen Marathon. Hopefully I will be fast asleep when the first guys cross the finish line, and hopefully I won't have any problems crossing town to get in here.

But of course the most important event tomorrow will be me playing my 70,000th hand of the week, probably somewhere around 4am monday morning (remember that my work week splits at 6am).

Another late start today, my sleeping rythm is getting pushed forward, and I also had to get some excercise today. I hope I will actually make some money today, unlike the previous two. For the next to last time: Gogogogogo!!!

Friday, May 16, 2008

Day 5, wall version.


Total
50.68 hours, 49,104 hands, $24,175, MT Ratio: 8.67, 2.52PTBB/100 (e.a.: 3.6)

Today:
10.1 hours, 9,796 hands, $3,484, MT Ratio: 8.9, 2.1PTBB/100.


This must be that wall marathon runners always talk about. I should have listened more closely. As predicted two days ago, the last couple of days have been tough times. I feel like I have been over the same ground fifty times now, but I always seem to be dragged bag to the starting point.
Since my predictive powers are so keen, I am now going to predict that I have my best day yet tomorrow, wich will put me over $35k for the week. Something to look forward to.

Of course I have a few more hands to discuss than I care to, setups, suckouts and donkish moves abound. Worst setup today at a 2000NL table I was all in with AK against aces AND kings. Tough to suck out of that one. Most donkish move I believe I have ever seen occured just a couple of hours ago. It is a case of the rarely used but very efficient bluff call:


Party Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $5/$10
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $976.75
UTG+1: $1516.75
CO: $5343.50
Button: $1066
Hero: $1238.75
BB: $1094

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is SB with :jd :qd
UTG folds, UTG+1 raises to $35, CO calls, Button calls, Hero raises to $170, 2 folds, CO calls, Button folds.

Flop: :6h :5s :2d ($420, 2 players)
Hero bets $300, CO calls.

Turn: :6d ($1020, 2 players)
Hero raises all-in $768.75, CO calls.

River: :7d ($2557.5, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $2557.5)

Results:
Final pot: $2557.5
Hero shows Jd Qd (flush)
CO shows Jc 7c (one pair, sevens)


I would not have guessed I was actually shoving for value. Should I have slow played my queen high monster?

Just your average day 5.

Total
44.8 hours, 43,506 hands, $24,482, MT Ratio: 8.62, 2.82PTBB/100

Today:
4.2 hours, 4,198 hands, $3,791, MT Ratio: 8.67, 4.66PTBB/100.


Today is not too shabby I guess, except that I was up twice as much for the day two hours ago, and I still have less money than I did yesterday morning. Name of the game.

Dinner break.

Day 5 starting.

I would very much like to do better today than yesterday, both in terms of $$$ and number of hands. With the new goal of SEVENTY THOUSAND HANDS, there is no reason to be lazy. Here we go then: Gogogogogo!!!

Thursday, May 15, 2008

A bad day even.


Total
40.6 hours, 39,308 hands, $20,691, MT Ratio: 8.61, 2.62PTBB/100 (4.2 equity adjusted).

Today:
8.9 hours, 8,130 hands, -$4,340, MT Ratio: 8.5, -2.9PTBB/100.




So I am down $16k in all-in luck this week. That's basically all I have to say about that. I am now including my equity adjusted BB/100 in my daily report card. No, I probably wouldn't have done that if I had been ahead.

Aside from a modest daily result things are going well. I am playing well, not having any physical problems, and people are showing some interest in the project which is all good. So I am now UPGRADING MY GOAL! 50k hands is just a short weeks work, to be a real bad-ass I gotta do 70k. I always thought 10k a day had a nice ring to it, I just didn't quite believe myself capable of that many. The new goal should keep me from growing all fat and happy with myself the next couple of days.

Until tomorrow...

A slow day.

Total
35.2 hours, 34,288 hands, $26,955, MT Ratio: 8.6, 3.8PTBB/100.

Today:
3.4 hours, 3,110 hands, $1,924, MT Ratio: 8.18, 1.16PTBB/100.

I got a late start to the day because of not being able to get out of bed, and then excercise. On top of that there was a poker lecture at the office, and many people about. All good times, but not helpful towards the marathon.

Things have settled down now, so I am counting on 5 solid hours now.

Btw ace magazine have linked to me (in danish).

Day 4 starting.

Starting late, but starting NOW!!! Gogogogo.

Wednesday, May 14, 2008

Soaring.


Total
31.8 hours, 31,178 hands, $25,031, MT Ratio: 8.64, 4.06PTBB/100.

Today:
10.8 hours, 10,417 hands, $14,713, MT Ratio: 8.58, 6.60PTBB/100.


Yesterday a few hours into day 2, I was down $13k for the week, and at the bottom of a 30 buy-in downswing. What a difference a day makes. Now I am sitting pretty on my mountain of gold snickering arrogantly at the poor bastards whose aces I crack with my kings.

When you are on top things like now, of course everything seems like cotton candy. But yesterday I really think the marathon concept did wonders for me. I would have quit 10 times during my monster day yesterday if I hadn't put up this challenge for myself, and I probably would have played worse when the results really went against me. I am not usually prone to tilt, but I am sure my game deteriorates a bit during the really ugly periods when nothing goes right. When you know that the results have no immidiate effect on you (you are still going to have a crappy week sitting bent over your keyboard no matter what) they become less of strain on you when they suck.

Physically I feel the strain now, I have a bit of pain and tension in back and shoulders, and I suspect that won't go away for long this week. Will get some more excercise tomorrow before playing, hopefully that will work out some kinks.

The great results of the last day and a half have been a nice companion, so I haven't really had a problem staying motivated and focused. But I foresee tough times if I hit a bad streak the next couple of days, since I am now getting a bit sick of playing poker, and still not exactly near the end. I have four days to go, and I am counting on my natural stubbornness to get me through.

Donks aplenty.

Total
26.0 hours, 25,807 hands, $15,816, MT Ratio: 8.63, 3.21PTBB/100.

Today:
5.1 hours, 5,046 hands, $5,499, MT Ratio: 4.92, 4.92PTBB/100.



Party Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $5/$10
5 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $195
CO: $1311.63
Hero: $1415
SB: $1154
BB: $1120

Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is Button with :3s :3d
UTG folds, CO raises to $100, Hero calls, 2 folds.

Flop: :8d :9s :3c ($215, 2 players)
CO bets $250, Hero calls.

Turn: :9h ($715, 2 players)
CO bets $400, Hero raises to $1000, CO calls all-in $561.63.
Uncalled bets: $38.37 returned to Hero.

River: :4c ($2638.26, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $2638.26)

Results:
Final pot: $2638.26
Hero shows 3s 3d (full house)
CO doesn't show As Qc (one pair)


'Nuff said.

Day 3 taking off.

This is it. This is me. Gogogogogo!

(Amazing how little you have to write about when all you do is sleep, eat, **** and play poker)

Tuesday, May 13, 2008

End of day 2.


And what a day it was.

Total
21.0 hours, 20,761 hands, $10,318, MT Ratio: 8.67, 2.79PTBB/100.

Today:
10.6 hours, 10,698 hands, $18,636, MT Ratio: 8.88, 10.16PTBB/100.


That went a long way towards redeeming all of the ill luck I went through yesterday. However, I am still owed $6k on that account, so my equity adjusted BB/100 is actually 4.2 instead of the measly 2.8 I am stuck with now. Well, at least I am not stuck under a brick wall somewhere in China.

See you tomorrow.

It had to get worse...

...before it got better.

Total
14.7 hours, 14,425 hands, +$191, MT Ratio: 8.5, 0.44PTBB/100.

Today:
4.3 hours, 4,362 hands, $8,509, MT Ratio: 8.72, 10.1PTBB/100.

The day started as yesterday ended: Rigged beyond belief. I had kings vs aces twice, and aces over trips and two pair twice, and lost a coin flip on top. I was down over $13k total at one point. But suddenly things started going my way, and I ripped home 10k in one and a half hour. That is the kind of streaks we have been waiting for!

Now dinner break.

Day 2.

After some sleep, excercise and food, I am ready for day two. I am gunning for 10k non-rigged hands. Gogogogogo!!!

Monday, May 12, 2008

End of day 1.


10.4 hours, 10,063 hands, -$8318, MT Ratio: 8.5, -3.76PTBB/100.

Dedicated readers might notice that the graph is currently pointing in the wrong direction. I am not going to pretend that is completely according to plan, but money comes and goes, look at all the hands I played, that's nice isn't it?

It turns out the dreaded partypoker doom switch has come on for me big time, and pitted against that mighty force, all things good and righteous must fail. You may not believe me, but even playing 8-10 tables of poker for all those hours, I truly believe I have played extremely well. I was fairly sure of it even before I studied my all-in luck graph for today, but that turned out to be a somewhat reviving experience. For the day I am down no less than $13k in bad all-in luck. Meaning that if every pot had been split according to equity after the money went in, I would have had a surplus of $4600 instead of being stuck over $8k. An exceptional result that handily beats anything I have experienced. Closest thing I can recall is when I was down $11k in all-in luck one day in december, but that was at 2000NL, while this was almost exclusively 1000NL.


Anyway, first day of my marathon went pretty well, I am not physically exhausted or anything, just a little bit mentally bombed from all the nasty setups and suckouts. If I'd had a positive buttom line I probably would have gone on for an hour or two. Tomorrow I will probably go to the gym and shake up the old office body a little bit before putting in another day at the tables. Hopefully just like this one except for the riggedness.

Pit stop 1.

5.8 hours, 5,790 hands, -$1540, MT Ratio: 8.4, -4.71PTBB/100.

So far so good. I think I am playing well, and the lousy results are mainly due to some nasty suckouts and setups. Interestingly enough, I feel much more detached from my results when I know I am still going to play 49,500 more hands this week. Somehow it is easier to consider the long run, at least that is my experience so far. But that doesn't help the fact that today and last week has been absolutely brutal. I am down about $25k during my last 4 or 5 sessions. I am glad I will win it all back this week :).

Now a well deserved dinner break.

50,000 hand week, gogogogo!!!

Starting NOW!