Wednesday, May 21, 2008

Like night and day.

I have always thought it more or less established fact that the games were better late at night (Danish time, GMT+1). The logic is that at around midnight everyone in the western world will NOT be at work, and that sleeping schedules is less of a hindrance for poker playing than work schedules. Also the European players who are on roughly the same local time as me will supposedly play worse late at night for various reasons.

What is lacking is some hard proof that this is actually fact, and not just an example of the standard human mindset that the grass is always greener on the other side, or in this case, that money flows more freely when I can't play 'cause wifey wants me in bed.

During my marathon, I did not have the feeling that the games were much better at night time, and surely my results are an indication of the opposite. My day time sessions (before dinner break) produced a win rate of 3.6 BB/100, while my night time sessions produced a win rate of 0.22 BB/100. Obviously those results are not proof of anything, for example a break even session on Sunday night instead of a -17k session would have made the two win rates roughly equal.

If you have some solid evidence one way or the other, I would be pleased to hear of it. Unfortunately Poker Tracker 2 was not much help in this regard. Right now I am working with PT3 to see if there is functionality there to help me (I am pretty sure there is, but I am having some techical problems and am in contact with support).

Fellow blogger Joxum asked for showdown statistics during the marathon. I went to showdown on 26.4% of the hands were I saw the flop, and I won 56% of those showdowns.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

This quality of game issue is a tough one to answer. I've always thought that late evening (UK time) and very early morning say 5am onwards were the best times to play.

It obviously also varies from the week days to weekends. However, how good or bad conditions are surely depends on your natural style of play?

If you like to open many hands and bully the table, picking up many small pots without a showdown for example, you'll find a game good that perhaps someone who likes to sit back and wait for aces and sets would never sit in for too long. I often find that games can revolve around one or two fishy players and stay good as long as they still have chips, however the regulars at my stakes are generally on the weak side no matter the time of day.

Matt.

Kristian said...

Thats certainly a good point. You would think an aggressive style would be better suited for a tight table all around.

However, I usually get a lot of my good results by forcing bad players out of their comfort zones. There are many examples of players after 3 or 4 3-bets preflop completely lose it and start going all in with any crap hand. So even at 1000NL and 2000NL there are much more money to be made from the true LAG donks than there are from the overly tight regulars.

Kristian